A Bias Toward Complexity

A Bias Toward Complexity

When making predictions or decisions in the real world where there are many variables, high levels of uncertainty, and numerous alternative options to chose from, using a simple rule of thumb can be better than developing complex models for predictions. The intuitive sense is that the more complex our model the more accurately it will … Continue reading A Bias Toward Complexity

Defensive Decision-Making - Joe Abittan

Defensive Decision-Making

One of the downfalls of a negative error cultures is that people become defensive over any mistake they make. Errors and mistakes are shamed and people who commit errors do their best to hide them or deflect responsibility. Within negative error cultures you are more likely to see people taking steps to distance themselves from … Continue reading Defensive Decision-Making

External Versus Internal Goals

External Versus Internal Goals

I don't think about it as much any more, but several years ago I was nearly obsessed with the idea of intrinsic versus extrinsic motivation. I ran cross country in high school and at the time I was very motivated by winning medals, winning a state championship, and impressing my friends and family. After graduating … Continue reading External Versus Internal Goals

Social learning and risk aversion

Social Learning and Risk Aversion

In his book Risk Savvy, Gerd Gigerenzer looks at risk aversion in the context of social learning and presents interesting ideas and results from studies of risk aversion and fear. He writes, "In risk research people are sometimes divided into two kinds of personalities: risk seeking and risk averse. But it is misleading to generalize … Continue reading Social Learning and Risk Aversion

The Results of Social Learning

The Results of Social Learning

The results of Social learning are not always positive. We learn a lot from our friends, our culture, and the people around us that we are not always aware of. We are greatly influenced by what we see others doing and believing, and this includes the things we learn and come to believe as true … Continue reading The Results of Social Learning

Procedure Over Performance

Procedure Over Performance

My wife works with families with children with disabilities for a state agency. She and I often have discussions about some of the administrative challenges and frustrations with her job, and some of the creative ways that she and other members of her agency are able to bend the rules to meet the human needs … Continue reading Procedure Over Performance

Positive Error Cultures - Joe Abittan

Positive Error Cultures

My last post was about negative error cultures and the harm they can create. Today is about the flip side, positive error cultures and how they can help encourage innovation, channel creativity, and help people learn to improve their decision-making. "On the other end of the spectrum," writes Gerd Gigerenzer in Risk Savvy, "are positive … Continue reading Positive Error Cultures